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Analysts Anticipate FOVL Will Reach $62

By Preferred Stock Channel Staff, Wednesday, January 17, 8:06 AM ET
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Looking at the underlying holdings of the ETFs in our coverage universe at ETF Channel, we have compared the trading price of each holding against the average analyst 12-month forward target price, and computed the weighted average implied analyst target price for the ETF itself. For the iShares Focused Value Factor ETF (NYSE:FOVL), we found that the implied analyst target price for the ETF based upon its underlying holdings is $61.87 per unit.

With FOVL trading at a recent price near $56.30 per unit, that means that analysts see 9.90% upside for this ETF looking through to the average analyst targets of the underlying holdings. Three of FOVL's underlying holdings with notable upside to their analyst target prices are AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd (NYSE:AXS), Webster Financial Corp (NYSE:WBS), and Pinnacle West Capital Corp (NYSE:PNW). Although AXS has traded at a recent price of $54.27/share, the average analyst target is 18.23% higher at $64.17/share. Similarly, WBS has 11.99% upside from the recent share price of $49.47 if the average analyst target price of $55.40/share is reached, and analysts on average are expecting PNW to reach a target price of $77.14/share, which is 10.42% above the recent price of $69.86. Below is a twelve month price history chart comparing the stock performance of AXS, WBS, and PNW:

AXS, WBS, and PNW Relative Performance Chart

Combined, AXS, WBS, and PNW represent 7.38% of the iShares Focused Value Factor ETF. Below is a summary table of the current analyst target prices discussed above:

Name Symbol Recent Price Avg. Analyst 12-Mo. Target % Upside to Target
iShares Focused Value Factor ETF FOVL $56.30 $61.87 9.90%
AXIS Capital Holdings Ltd AXS $54.27 $64.17 18.23%
Webster Financial Corp WBS $49.47 $55.40 11.99%
Pinnacle West Capital Corp PNW $69.86 $77.14 10.42%

Are analysts justified in these targets, or overly optimistic about where these stocks will be trading 12 months from now? Do the analysts have a valid justification for their targets, or are they behind the curve on recent company and industry developments? A high price target relative to a stock's trading price can reflect optimism about the future, but can also be a precursor to target price downgrades if the targets were a relic of the past. These are questions that require further investor research.

The average analyst target price data upon which this article was based, is courtesy of data provided by Zacks Investment Research via Quandl.com.
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This Article's Word Cloud:   AXIS   Analyst   Below   Capital   Corp   ETFs   FOVL   FREEGet   Factor   Financial   Focused   Holdings   NYSE   Pinnacle   Target   Upside   Value   Webster   West   With   Zacks   about   above   analyst   analysts   average   background   based   border   bottom   color   data   font   from   hctblstyle   holdings   iShares   latest   mdash   price   recent   report   research   share   target   targets   that   trading   underlying   upside

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