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XTL's Holdings Could Mean 37% Gain Potential

By Preferred Stock Channel Staff, Monday, April 8, 6:37 AM ET
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Looking at the underlying holdings of the ETFs in our coverage universe at ETF Channel, we have compared the trading price of each holding against the average analyst 12-month forward target price, and computed the weighted average implied analyst target price for the ETF itself. For the SPDR S&P Telecom ETF (NYSE:XTL), we found that the implied analyst target price for the ETF based upon its underlying holdings is $98.05 per unit.

With XTL trading at a recent price near $71.41 per unit, that means that analysts see 37.31% upside for this ETF looking through to the average analyst targets of the underlying holdings. Three of XTL's underlying holdings with notable upside to their analyst target prices are Liberty Latin America Ltd (NASDAQ:LILAK), Telephone & Data Systems Inc (NYSE:TDS), and ADTRAN Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:ADTN). Although LILAK has traded at a recent price of $7.31/share, the average analyst target is 68.95% higher at $12.35/share. Similarly, TDS has 65.92% upside from the recent share price of $15.67 if the average analyst target price of $26.00/share is reached, and analysts on average are expecting ADTN to reach a target price of $8.25/share, which is 64.02% above the recent price of $5.03. Below is a twelve month price history chart comparing the stock performance of LILAK, TDS, and ADTN:

LILAK, TDS, and ADTN Relative Performance Chart

Combined, LILAK, TDS, and ADTN represent 5.65% of the SPDR S&P Telecom ETF. Below is a summary table of the current analyst target prices discussed above:

Name Symbol Recent Price Avg. Analyst 12-Mo. Target % Upside to Target
SPDR S&P Telecom ETF XTL $71.41 $98.05 37.31%
Liberty Latin America Ltd LILAK $7.31 $12.35 68.95%
Telephone & Data Systems Inc TDS $15.67 $26.00 65.92%
ADTRAN Holdings Inc ADTN $5.03 $8.25 64.02%

Are analysts justified in these targets, or overly optimistic about where these stocks will be trading 12 months from now? Do the analysts have a valid justification for their targets, or are they behind the curve on recent company and industry developments? A high price target relative to a stock's trading price can reflect optimism about the future, but can also be a precursor to target price downgrades if the targets were a relic of the past. These are questions that require further investor research.

The average analyst target price data upon which this article was based, is courtesy of data provided by Zacks Investment Research via Quandl.com.
Get the latest Zacks research report on LILAK — FREE
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This Article's Word Cloud:   ADTN   America   Analyst   Below   Data   ETFs   FREEGet   Holdings   LILAK   Latin   Liberty   NYSE   SPDR   Systems   Target   Telecom   Telephone   Upside   With   Zacks   about   above   analyst   analysts   average   background   based   border   bottom   color   data   font   from   have   hctblstyle   holdings   implied   latest   mdash   price   recent   report   research   share   target   targets   that   trading   underlying   upside

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